According to a recent World Bank and Visual Capitalist ranking, Tajikistan ranked 81st globally in terms of import dependence. In 2023–2024, imported goods and services accounted for 48.4% of GDP, almost double the global average (28.2%), reports Asiaplus.tj.
Central Asian Perspective
The republic is among the most dependent countries on external supplies in the region, second only to Kyrgyzstan. A comparison of the share of imports in GDP among Central Asian countries is as follows:
Country ............Share of Imports in GDP.......Regional Position
Kyrgyzstan .......84.2% ..................................Critically Dependent (17th Globally)
Tajikistan ..........48.4% ..................................Highly Dependent
Uzbekistan .......38.0% ..................................Moderately Dependent
Kazakhstan ......25.6% ..................................Relative Reliability
Turkmenistan ..11.2% ..................................Closed Economy
Causes and Risks
World Bank experts attribute these figures to Tajikistan's landlocked status and weak industrial base. Tajikistan is forced to import critical goods such as fuel, food, and machinery.
Main Threats:
Inflationary pressure: rising global prices are immediately reflected in the domestic market.
Logistics Shocks: Any instability in supply chains threatens food and energy security.
Re-export boom: a sharp increase in imports (for example, cars from Georgia by 568%) indicates the country's role as a transit hub, increasing the risk of secondary sanctions.
CentralasianLIGHT.org
February 5, 2026